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Effect of the downturn on apprentices and trainees 26 September 2011
By Tom Karmel, Damian Oliver

Looking at apprentice and trainee data and employment data back to 1995, we find that declines in… Show more

Looking at apprentice and trainee data and employment data back to 1995, we find that declines in apprentice commencements lead declines in total trades employment by four quarters, whereas declines in trainee commencements appear to lag declines in employment in non-trade occupations. Based on this historical relationship, the reduction in apprentice and trainee numbers suggested a much larger Show less
Skill shortages in the trades during economic downturns 18 February 2011
By Damian Oliver

This paper looks at recent economic downturns and finds that there is little convincing evidence of … Show more

This paper looks at recent economic downturns and finds that there is little convincing evidence of persistent skill shortages in the trades. There is no evidence of persistent skill shortages across downturns in the construction, automotive and engineering trades. Declining numbers of apprenticeship completions led to persistent shortages in the electrical trades during the 1990s and 2000s but Show less